Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
