La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia2 - 0Girona
We said: Valencia 1-2 Girona
Valencia are really struggling at the moment, and we are finding it difficult to back them to pick up a positive result here. Girona will enter the game off the back of successive losses, but we can see the Catalan side shading a close fixture at Mestalla this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Girona |
40.3% ( -0.06) | 25.9% ( -0.01) | 33.8% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
