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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Barnsley
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Kane (19' pen.), Styles (23'), Cole (75')
Styles (14')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dunkley (4'), Taylor (5'), Flanagan (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Derby
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Shrewsbury Town

Shrewsbury's away form has been dire for most of the calendar year, with Taylor so far proving powerless to change that, having lost four of his six away trips without scoring a goal. We expect that pattern to continue when they visit Barnsley, who will be determined to start making up some ground on the division's top two teams sooner rather than later as they look to return to the Championship. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawShrewsbury Town
58.65% (0.329 0.33) 22.08% (-0.201 -0.2) 19.26% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.43% (0.441 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (0.695 0.7)44.83% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81% (0.666 0.67)67.19% (-0.664 -0.66)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.343 0.34)14.95% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (0.646 0.65)43.37% (-0.646 -0.65)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.83% (0.267 0.27)37.17% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (0.263 0.26)73.95% (-0.264 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 58.65%
    Shrewsbury Town 19.26%
    Draw 22.08%
BarnsleyDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.075 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 58.65%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 19.26%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Shrewsbury

Barnsley
100%
Draw
0.0%
Shrewsbury Town
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Cadden (40'), Cole (45+2')
Phillips (90+1')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Mowatt (23'), Brown (55')
Campbell (38')
Whalley (54'), Waterfall (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Shrewsbury
3-1
Barnsley
Docherty (2'), Norburn (23'), Waterfall (68')
Grant (17')
Pinnock (49')
McGeehan (51'), Mowatt (81'), Hedges (90')
Jan 16, 2016 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-3
Barnsley

Black (44'), Brown (51'), Whitbread (59'), Wellens (72')
Winnall (15', 21'), Mawson (72')
Watkins (25'), Long (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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