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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Bolton
2 - 2
Shrewsbury

Jerome (40'), Maghoma (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Udoh (21'), Shipley (43')
Marosi (40'), Bennett (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Wycombe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Shrewsbury Town

Although Bolton were involved in a draw on Saturday, they have managed to win five of their last eight home matches, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim three points in Tuesday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawShrewsbury Town
73.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 16.18% (0.0019999999999989 0) 10.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 52.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.32% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)57.68% (0.012 0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)8.43% (0.0030999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.72% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)43.06% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 73.07%
    Shrewsbury Town 10.75%
    Draw 16.18%
Bolton WanderersDrawShrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 9.15% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 4.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.8%
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
6-0 @ 1.15%
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 73.07%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 3.19%
0-1 @ 3.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Bolton vs Shrewsbury

Bolton Wanderers
81.8%
Draw
12.7%
Shrewsbury Town
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Shrewsbury
0-2
Bolton
Maghoma (65'), Morley (90+8')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Shrewsbury
3-2
Bolton
Street (2'), Saydee (79'), Dunkley (90+2')
Charles (13', 71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Shrewsbury
0-1
Bolton

Pennington (32'), Ogbeta (67')
Charles (89')
Charles (90')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Bolton
2-1
Shrewsbury
Sarcevic (18'), Afolayan (23')
Santos (88')
Leahy (89')
Bennett (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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