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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Bolton
2 - 2
Shrewsbury

Jerome (40'), Maghoma (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Udoh (21'), Shipley (43')
Marosi (40'), Bennett (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Wycombe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Shrewsbury Town

Although Bolton were involved in a draw on Saturday, they have managed to win five of their last eight home matches, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim three points in Tuesday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawShrewsbury Town
73.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 16.18% (0.0019999999999989 0) 10.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 52.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.32% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)57.68% (0.012 0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)8.43% (0.0030999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.72% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)43.06% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 73.07%
    Shrewsbury Town 10.75%
    Draw 16.18%
Bolton WanderersDrawShrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 9.15% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 4.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.8%
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
6-0 @ 1.15%
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 73.07%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 3.19%
0-1 @ 3.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Bolton vs Shrewsbury

Bolton Wanderers
81.8%
Draw
12.7%
Shrewsbury Town
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Shrewsbury
0-2
Bolton
Maghoma (65'), Morley (90+8')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Shrewsbury
3-2
Bolton
Street (2'), Saydee (79'), Dunkley (90+2')
Charles (13', 71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Shrewsbury
0-1
Bolton

Pennington (32'), Ogbeta (67')
Charles (89')
Charles (90')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Bolton
2-1
Shrewsbury
Sarcevic (18'), Afolayan (23')
Santos (88')
Leahy (89')
Bennett (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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