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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bolton logo

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Bolton


Evans (32'), Thomas (56'), Martin (62'), Connolly (76'), Baxter (90+8'), Taylor (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collins (52'), Morley (90+8' pen.)
Iredale (55'), Conteh (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 Bolton may have struggled in their recent away matches, but they tend to fare well at the Memorial Stadium, and we think that the promotion-hopefuls will do enough to edge their hosts and claim three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
32.06% (-0.129 -0.13) 26.01% (-0.041 -0.04) 41.93% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (0.134 0.13)50.95% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (0.119 0.12)72.82% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.77% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.84% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.148 0.15)24.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (0.207 0.21)58.36% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 32.06%
    Bolton Wanderers 41.93%
    Draw 26%
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.06%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Bolton

Bristol Rovers
19.0%
Draw
9.5%
Bolton Wanderers
71.4%
21
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Toal (84')
Forrester (45+3'), Baxter (45+5'), Dempsey (81'), Williams (88')
Santos (33')
Marquis (10'), Evans (41')
Finley (17'), Thomas (29'), Taylor (87'), Taylor (87')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Bolton
Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Coburn (2')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport30158746291753
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
6Charlton AthleticCharlton29138838281047
7Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
8Reading29136104341245
9Leyton Orient281351040251544
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
12Stevenage28117102727040
13Blackpool2991284241139
14Mansfield TownMansfield28114133535037
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham29107123435-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
21Burton Albion30511143145-1426
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2975173049-1926
23Crawley TownCrawley2866163052-2224
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2958163051-2123
> League One Full Table


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