MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 08:22:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Derby logo

Burton Albion
0 - 3
Derby


Seddon (2'), Maamria (3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Collins (6'), Hourihane (78'), Washington (84')
Mendez-Laing (45+2'), Hourihane (66'), Cashin (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Leicester
Wednesday, August 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 0-2 Blackpool
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Derby County

 As neither crop of players are brimming with confidence right now, do not expect a classic at the Pirelli Stadium, where further injuries to Burton's already-depleted squad may prove crucial. In contrast, Derby are blessed with a few more options for change in the forward areas, and despite Burton's respectable stretch of home form, Warne's side can shut up shop after drawing first blood to belatedly get off the mark. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawDerby County
19.03% (-0.07 -0.07) 23.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 57.55% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.87% (-0.145 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (-0.137 -0.14)50.72% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (-0.119 -0.12)72.62% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.16% (-0.155 -0.16)40.84% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.59% (-0.139 -0.14)77.41% (0.13900000000001 0.14)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)17.39% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)47.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 19.03%
    Derby County 57.54%
    Draw 23.42%
Burton AlbionDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.03%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 12.42% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.86% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.34% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.54%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Derby
1-0
Burton Albion
McGoldrick (63' pen.)
Dec 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-1
Derby
Adeboyejo (79')
Collins (23')
> Preview
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Burton Albion
2-5
Derby
Brayford (22'), Fraser (51')
Waghorn (16', 28', 37'), Bennett (47'), Bird (93')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Derby
Boyce (24'), Murphy (44'), Akins (68')
Buxton (39'), Brayford (63'), Akpan (77')
Nugent (29')
Huddlestone (49')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Derby
1-0
Burton Albion
Russell (81')

Naylor (14'), Flanagan (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!