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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Oxford United

Burton Albion
0 - 4
Oxford Utd


Powell (50'), Brayford (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harris (24', 57'), Murphy (62'), Henry (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Fleetwood
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Oxford United

It is difficult to back Burton at the moment due to their struggles, but the same cannot be said for Oxford, who are pushing for a top-six spot. The visitors were excellent against a struggling Fleetwood last time out, and we are expecting them to put another three points on the board this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
24.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 51.61% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)47.41% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)69.63% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)33.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)18.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)49.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 24.32%
    Oxford United 51.6%
    Draw 24.07%
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 6.73% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.66% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.32%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 51.6%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Oxford Utd

Burton Albion
10.0%
Draw
15.0%
Oxford United
75.0%
20
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Oxford Utd
3-0
Burton Albion
Rodrigues (25', 83'), McGuane (89')

Gordon (74')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Burton Albion
2-0
Oxford Utd
Eastwood (40' og.), Taylor (49')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Oxford Utd
2-1
Burton Albion
Brannagan (48'), Joseph (71')
Findlay (86')
Adeboyejo (77')
Hughes (58'), Brayford (60')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Oxford Utd
4-1
Burton Albion
Baldock (7', 40'), Whyte (35'), Taylor (45')
Guedioura (45+2')
Saydee (29')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burton Albion
1-3
Oxford Utd
Lakin (80')
Bostwick (38'), Akins (53'), Hemmings (86')
Taylor (1'), Holland (43'), Henry (84' pen.)
Brannagan (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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