League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion3 - 2Reading
Burrell (10', 90+2'), Dadi Bodvarsson (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-2 Rotherham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Burton Albion 2-1 Reading
With a newfound sense of confidence and a new striker in Bodvarsson firing on all cylinders, the stars are aligning for Burton to repeat last season's home trick over an ailing Reading side. There may be 13 places and 20 points between the two clubs in the table, but the form book does not reflect that disparity, and Bowyer's men have our vote to prevail even if their familiar defensive struggles at home rear their ugly heads. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Reading |
38.34% ( 0.01) | 25.9% ( -0.01) | 35.76% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
