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Championship header 2

League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Carlisle United

Cambridge
1 - 0
Carlisle

Thomas (73')
Lankester (30'), Bennett (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Armer (47')
Armer (83'), McCalmont (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Carlisle United

 A draw could be on the cards in Cambridge, as the hosts have not pulled up trees in recent home games, while Carlisle have claimed one victory in their last five away fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCarlisle United
36.53% (-0.108 -0.11) 27.13% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.34% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)54.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)28.87% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)64.74% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.062000000000012 0.06)28.99% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.073999999999998 0.07)64.88% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 36.52%
    Carlisle United 36.34%
    Draw 27.12%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.34%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Carlisle

Cambridge United
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Carlisle United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Carlisle
1-2
Cambridge
Alessandra (78')
Hayden (24'), Furman (28'), Zanzala (68')
Mullin (45+2'), May (90')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
3-0
Carlisle
Hannant (9'), Mullin (16'), Ironside (86')
Digby (45+3')

Patrick (45+3'), Guy (76'), Toure (88'), Mellish (89')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cambridge
1-2
Carlisle
Lambe (82')
Roles (78')
Alessandra (27'), Anderton (73')
Hayden (59'), Webster (64'), McKirdy (80'), Charters (89'), Olomola (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
0-0
Cambridge
Loft (29'), Carroll (70')
Hannant (26'), Lewis (39'), Smith (83')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Carlisle
2-2
Cambridge
Devitt (37'), Thomas (45')
Jones (50'), Grainger (81')
Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Ibehre (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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