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Championship header 2

League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Carlisle United

Cambridge
1 - 0
Carlisle

Thomas (73')
Lankester (30'), Bennett (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Armer (47')
Armer (83'), McCalmont (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Carlisle United

 A draw could be on the cards in Cambridge, as the hosts have not pulled up trees in recent home games, while Carlisle have claimed one victory in their last five away fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCarlisle United
36.53% (-0.108 -0.11) 27.13% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.34% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)54.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)28.87% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)64.74% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.062000000000012 0.06)28.99% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.073999999999998 0.07)64.88% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 36.52%
    Carlisle United 36.34%
    Draw 27.12%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.34%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Carlisle

Cambridge United
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Carlisle United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Carlisle
1-2
Cambridge
Alessandra (78')
Hayden (24'), Furman (28'), Zanzala (68')
Mullin (45+2'), May (90')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
3-0
Carlisle
Hannant (9'), Mullin (16'), Ironside (86')
Digby (45+3')

Patrick (45+3'), Guy (76'), Toure (88'), Mellish (89')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cambridge
1-2
Carlisle
Lambe (82')
Roles (78')
Alessandra (27'), Anderton (73')
Hayden (59'), Webster (64'), McKirdy (80'), Charters (89'), Olomola (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
0-0
Cambridge
Loft (29'), Carroll (70')
Hannant (26'), Lewis (39'), Smith (83')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Carlisle
2-2
Cambridge
Devitt (37'), Thomas (45')
Jones (50'), Grainger (81')
Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Ibehre (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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