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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
29.17% ( -0.67) | 25.84% ( 0.05) | 45% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.59% ( -0.5) | 51.41% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.78% ( -0.44) | 73.23% ( 0.44) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.97% ( -0.75) | 32.03% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.5% ( -0.86) | 68.5% ( 0.86) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.21% ( 0.08) | 22.79% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.51% ( 0.12) | 56.49% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.17% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Exeter CityExeter | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
6 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
17 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 7 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |