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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle United

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-0 Carlisle United

 There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match for Cheltenham, and anything less than a victory will go down as a hugely disappointing result. We are expecting a tight game on Tuesday but are backing Cheltenham to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
46.02% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54.66% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)75.99% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)23.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65% (0.0040000000000049 0)35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 46.01%
    Carlisle United 27.53%
    Draw 26.44%
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.53%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Carlisle

Cheltenham Town
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
2-0
Carlisle
Reilly (15'), Varney (45')
Tozer (7')

Scougall (35'), Iredale (43'), Thomas (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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