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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
18.21% ( -0.4) | 23.27% ( -0.37) | 58.52% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 47.94% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% ( 0.89) | 51.24% ( -0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( 0.77) | 73.08% ( -0.77) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.91% ( 0.06) | 42.09% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.49% ( 0.05) | 78.51% ( -0.05) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.77% ( 0.6) | 17.23% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.47% ( 1.04) | 47.52% ( -1.04) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.21% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 11.21% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.64% Total : 58.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |