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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Portsmouth

Cheltenham
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Sercombe (51', 54')
Ferry (37'), Pett (45+3'), Bradbury (72'), Long (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bradbury (49' og.)
Kamara (34'), Bishop (87'), Rafferty (90+1'), Scully (90+4'), Lane (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Cheltenham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-2 Portsmouth

Cheltenham managed to hold Portsmouth to a goalless draw when the two sides met in August, but we think that they could be left empty-handed in Saturday's reverse fixture, especially as Pompey have won seven of their 12 away league matches this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPortsmouth
18.28% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.22% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 58.5%
Both teams to score 48.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.16%72.84%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.14% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.31% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.37%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 18.28%
    Portsmouth 58.49%
    Draw 23.22%
Cheltenham TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.25%
2-1 @ 4.8%
2-0 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.28%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 12.65%
0-2 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-3 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 5.71%
0-4 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.49%
2-4 @ 1.1%
0-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 58.49%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Portsmouth

Cheltenham Town
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Portsmouth
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Portsmouth
4-0
Cheltenham
Tunnicliffe (5'), Jacobs (20'), Curtis (26'), Thompson (90+1')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cheltenham
0-2
Portsmouth

N'Lundulu (25'), Bonds (59')
Bishop (30', 56')
Dale (78')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Portsmouth
1-1
Cheltenham
Freestone (6')
Hussey (49'), Crowley (90')
rhs 2.0
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