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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
57.22% ( 0.02) | 23.37% ( 0) | 19.41% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.99% ( -0.02) | 50.01% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.01% ( -0.02) | 71.98% ( 0.02) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( -0) | 17.25% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.44% ( -0) | 47.56% ( 0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.99% ( -0.04) | 40% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.34% ( -0.03) | 76.66% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.72% Total : 57.21% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 19.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |