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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Portsmouth

Exeter
0 - 0
Portsmouth


Carroll (79')
FT

Raggett (60'), Sparkes (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Portsmouth

Despite experiencing three frustrating results, Portsmouth will still be pleased with their efforts in the first half of the season, and we think that they will get their promotion bid back on track against an Exeter side they have already beaten this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
22.4% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 23.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 53.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (0.039999999999999 0.04)48.2% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (0.036999999999999 0.04)70.35% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)35.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)72.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.83% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.42% (0.059000000000005 0.06)48.57% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 22.4%
    Portsmouth 53.79%
    Draw 23.79%
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 22.4%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 11.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.47% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 53.79%

How you voted: Exeter vs Portsmouth

Exeter City
4.8%
Draw
4.8%
Portsmouth
90.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Portsmouth
1-0
Exeter
Bishop (70')
Poole (51'), Sparkes (74'), Robertson (79'), Ogilvie (89'), Shaughnessy (90')

Hartridge (44')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Portsmouth
2-0
Exeter
Pack (57'), Morrell (74')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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