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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Reading |
33.21% ( -0.71) | 24.8% ( -0.52) | 41.98% ( 1.24) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( 1.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.65% ( 2.18) | 45.35% ( -2.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.31% ( 2.05) | 67.69% ( -2.04) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.71% ( 0.62) | 26.29% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.58% ( 0.81) | 61.42% ( -0.81) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.38% ( 1.54) | 21.62% ( -1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.27% ( 2.31) | 54.73% ( -2.31) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Reading |
2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |