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League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Derby logo

Reading
1 - 0
Derby

Mukairu (54')
Mbengue (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Reading
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Derby
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Derby County

Having picked up 29 points from their 14 road trips in League One, Derby currently boasts the best away record in the third tier, and we think that they will get the better of Reading on Tuesday to extend their unbeaten away run to seven league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawDerby County
21.91% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.13% (0.0010000000000012 0) 54.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 54.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (0.0049999999999955 0)45.92% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77% (0.004999999999999 0)68.23% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)35.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)71.87% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.38%
Score Analysis
    Reading 21.91%
    Derby County 54.95%
    Draw 23.13%
ReadingDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 21.91%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 9.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.65%
0-4 @ 2.53%
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.95%
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 54.95%

How you voted: Reading vs Derby

Reading
18.2%
Draw
12.1%
Derby County
69.7%
33
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Reading
2-2
Derby
Hoilett (37', 56')
Laurent (45')
Kazim-Richards (86'), Davies (90+1')
Davies (82'), Byrne (90+6')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Derby
1-0
Reading
Forsyth (33')
Stearman (16'), Byrne (59'), Shinnie (74'), Lawrence (90+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Derby
0-2
Reading

Shinnie (37'), Sibley (45+2'), Byrne (47')
Joao (40'), Ejaria (45+1')
Olise (64'), Richards (90+3')
Jun 27, 2020 1pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Group Stage
Spain
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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