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League One
Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
Northampton Town

Leyton Orient
4 - 3
Northampton

O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-0 Northampton Town

 Northampton have struggled in their last three outings and could not take advantage of an extra man against Bolton. Despite Leyton's defeat last time out, we think they are still the team to beat in this fixture and should edge it at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
54.63% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 24.68% (-0.041 -0.04) 20.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.74% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (0.101 0.1)53.55% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (0.084 0.08)75.06% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.073000000000008 0.07)19.54% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.56% (0.12 0.12)51.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)40.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.75% (0.004999999999999 0)77.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 54.63%
    Northampton Town 20.69%
    Draw 24.67%
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 12.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.69%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Northampton

Leyton Orient
76.0%
Draw
12.0%
Northampton Town
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
Fox (51')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leyton Orient
0-0
Northampton
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (41')

Kyprianou (52'), Wood (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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