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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Lincoln City

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Lincoln

Sercombe (15' pen.)
Bonds (53'), Davies (75'), Harrop (86'), Long (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (40'), Draper (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-2 Lincoln City

With so much on the line for both teams this weekend it is likely to be quite a closely contested and cagey game, with neither team wanting to give too much of an advantage away. However, the strong run of form that Lincoln has displayed in the second half of the season should see them through here, with their quality likely being too much for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
25.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 47.95% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)76.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (0.012 0.01)23.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 25.75%
    Lincoln City 47.95%
    Draw 26.3%
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 47.95%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Lincoln

Cheltenham Town
11.1%
Draw
7.4%
Lincoln City
81.5%
27
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Lincoln
2-0
Cheltenham
Sorensen (5', 21')
Jackson (11'), Kennedy (12'), Bishop (44'), Hamilton (81'), Erhahon (88')

Harris (77'), Bevan (81')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Lincoln
2-0
Cheltenham
House (42', 79')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Lincoln
3-0
Cheltenham
Whittaker (4', 19'), Scully (17')

Ramsey (8'), Freestone (57'), May (81')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Cheltenham
2-2
Lincoln
May (17'), Blair (90+5')
Long (59'), Raglan (69'), May (71'), Williams (90+3'), Pollock (90+6')
Bishop (69', 90+1')
Bridcutt (65'), McGrandles (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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