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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackpool | Draw | Barnsley |
46.14% ( 0.07) | 24% ( 0.01) | 29.86% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 58.99% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.93% ( -0.08) | 43.07% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.53% ( -0.08) | 65.47% ( 0.08) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.14% ( -0) | 18.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.69% ( -0.01) | 50.31% ( 0.01) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.69% ( -0.09) | 27.3% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.25% ( -0.12) | 62.75% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Blackpool | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |