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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 13
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Fleetwood Town

Port Vale
2 - 2
Fleetwood

Weir (18'), Chislett (43' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Stockley (88', 90+3')
Lynch (43'), Johnston (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Fleetwood Town

The two relegation-threatened sides will both be determined to pick up all three points, but with wins proving hard to come by, we think that the respective teams will have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawFleetwood Town
42.4% (-2.311 -2.31) 25.38% (0.43 0.43) 32.22% (1.881 1.88)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.576 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79% (-1.137 -1.14)48.21% (1.138 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (-1.05 -1.05)70.36% (1.049 1.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (-1.553 -1.55)22.65% (1.553 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (-2.362 -2.36)56.28% (2.362 2.36)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (0.68000000000001 0.68)28.3% (-0.679 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (0.847 0.85)64.03% (-0.848 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.4%
    Fleetwood Town 32.22%
    Draw 25.37%
Port ValeDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.07% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.339 -0.34)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.341 -0.34)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.519 0.52)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.287 0.29)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.417 0.42)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.178 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.213 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.22%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Fleetwood

Port Vale
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Fleetwood Town
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Fleetwood
3-0
Port Vale
Stockley (8'), Coughlin (65'), Broom (90+4')
Johnston (33'), Mayor (54'), Kilkenny (90')

Lowe (63')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
3-2
Fleetwood
Chislett (18', 72'), Thomas (58')
Arblaster (20'), Chislett (41'), Grant (68'), Iacovitti (90+6')
Hayes (5'), Graydon (47')
Rooney (41'), Broom (66')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Port Vale
2-1
Fleetwood
Smith (30'), Hall (32')
McDermott (43'), Ojo (45+1'), Smith (70')
Batty (6')
Wiredu (52')
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Fleetwood
2-1
Port Vale
Madden (14'), Morris (75')
Madden (32'), Whelan (90+2')
Whitehead (49')
Hurst (45+1'), Montano (64'), Brisley (70'), Mills (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth442713475393694
2Derby CountyDerby442681075373886
3Bolton WanderersBolton442411981483383
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough432481184562880
5Barnsley4421121179601975
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4421101376542273
7Lincoln CityLincoln4419141163372671
8Blackpool4420101460431770
9Stevenage4418131354441067
10Leyton Orient441711165053-362
11Northampton TownNorthampton44178195563-859
12Wycombe WanderersWycombe431513155553258
13Exeter CityExeter441610184358-1558
14Bristol Rovers44169195264-1257
15Wigan AthleticWigan441810165955456
16Charlton AthleticCharlton441119146363052
17Reading441511186365-250
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44138233363-3047
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge431210213859-2146
20Burton Albion441110233662-2643
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham43118243761-2441
22Port Vale441010244172-3140
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood44813234572-2737
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4479284076-3630


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