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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Northampton Town

Rotherham
3 - 0
Northampton

Clarke-Harris (3', 33'), Green (49')
Powell (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoskins (44'), Waghorn (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 3-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Northampton Town

With both teams having got wins on the board lately, this could be a higher-quality fixture than maybe it would have been a few weeks ago. Nevertheless, we are backing Rotherham to come through with the three points, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
60.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 22.73% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 16.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.94% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)16.64% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (0.012 0.01)46.48% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 60.91%
    Northampton Town 16.36%
    Draw 22.73%
Rotherham UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 60.91%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.31%
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.36%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-3
Rotherham

van Veen (72')
Smith (18'), Ball (62'), Towell (81')
Taylor (14'), Ajayi (37'), Mattock (59')
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Rotherham
3-1
Northampton
Pringle (75'), Noble (79'), Nardiello (42' pen.)
Nardiello (43'), Bradley (63'), Slew (85')
Carlisle (90')
Aug 21, 2012 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Rotherham
Hackett (26'), Nicholls (86')
Guttridge (63'), Akinfenwa (87'), Platt (90')
Pringle (42')
May 5, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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