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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
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Barnsley
2 - 0
Rotherham

Russell (32'), Humphrys (86')
Connell (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Rotherham United

Barnsley tend to fare well in matches against Rotherham, and we think that the Tykes make full use of home advantage to clinch all three points and record a fifth consecutive win in head-to-head meetings with the Millers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawRotherham United
36.82% (-0.108 -0.11) 24.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 38.4% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.35599999999999 0.36)44.61% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.02% (0.343 0.34)66.98% (-0.345 -0.34)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (0.10299999999999 0.1)23.88% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (0.15 0.15)58.08% (-0.153 -0.15)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.255 0.25)23.05% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.371 0.37)56.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 36.83%
    Rotherham United 38.4%
    Draw 24.77%
BarnsleyDrawRotherham United
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.4%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Rotherham

Barnsley
70.2%
Draw
17.5%
Rotherham United
12.3%
57
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Barnsley
1-0
Rotherham
Morris (2')
Sibbick (65'), Halme (85')

MacDonald (28'), Wood (45+1'), MacDonald (54')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Rotherham
1-2
Barnsley
Smith (57')
Lindsay (69'), Wood (77'), Smith (81')
Woodrow (8'), Mowatt (15')
Sollbauer (56')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
4-0
Barnsley
Proctor (67', 73', 75'), Moore (91')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Barnsley
4-0
Rotherham
Roberts (54'), Hammill (57'), Bradshaw (86'), Kent (91')
Scowen (55')

Newell (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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