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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Reading |
42.46% ( 0.03) | 25.23% ( 0.01) | 32.31% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% ( -0.07) | 47.55% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( -0.06) | 69.75% ( 0.06) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.66% ( -0.02) | 22.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.18% ( -0.02) | 55.81% ( 0.02) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( -0.06) | 27.92% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% ( -0.07) | 63.54% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Exeter CityExeter | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
6 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
17 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 7 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |