Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.