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League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Northampton Town

Wrexham
4 - 1
Northampton

McClean (8', 67'), Marriott (38'), Lee (56')
McClean (29')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McGeehan (27')
Sowerby (31'), Hoskins (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Northampton Town

Wrexham may have prevailed in just one of their last four games, but they have won all of their four home league matches this season, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to condemn Northampton to a third consecutive defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawNorthampton Town
61.1% (0.040999999999997 0.04) 20.92% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 17.98% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)41.63% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)64.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.16% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)39.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)36.69% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)73.47% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 61.1%
    Northampton Town 17.98%
    Draw 20.92%
WrexhamDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.71% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 61.1%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.92%
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.98%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Northampton

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Northampton Town
0.0%
23
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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