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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City |
31.35% ( -0.45) | 25.6% ( 0.16) | 43.05% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 54.35% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.51% ( -0.83) | 49.49% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.48% ( -0.75) | 71.52% ( 0.75) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% ( -0.71) | 29.51% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% ( -0.88) | 65.53% ( 0.88) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.11% ( -0.22) | 22.89% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.36% ( -0.32) | 56.64% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.35% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |