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Championship header 2

League Two
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Berry (27'), Markanday (45+2')
Cook (0'), Oldaker (24'), Grimes (39'), Grigg (90+3')
Oldaker (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vernam (50')
Warren (26'), Vernam (58'), Carson (63'), Grigg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 2-1 Grimsby Town

 Although Chesterfield lost their unbeaten record last time out, it was against the league leaders. With that in mind, we are expecting Cook's side to bounce back in a competitive fixture, extending Grimsby's losing streak on their travels to three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesterfield in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
51.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 23.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.85% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.93% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (0.192 0.19)45.22% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (0.183 0.18)67.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)17.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.102 0.1)48.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.158 0.16)32.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.18 0.18)68.62% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 51.48%
    Grimsby Town 24.85%
    Draw 23.67%
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.48%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.85%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
52.8%
Draw
11.1%
Grimsby Town
36.1%
36
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Chesterfield
1-4
Grimsby Town
Maguire (6')
King (6')
McAtee (27'), Holohan (31'), Clifton (50'), Taylor (78')
McAtee (28')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Grimsby Town
0-1
Chesterfield

Coke (48')
Tshimanga (84')
Weston (85')
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Second Round
Chesterfield
0-2
Grimsby Town
Vernam (37'), Clifton (70')
Clifton (71')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Chesterfield
Rose (88' pen.)
Fox (53'), Vernon (55'), Dembele (68'), Rose (88')

Reed (79'), Talbot (90')
Aug 5, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
1-3
Grimsby Town
Dennis (82')
Donohue (5'), Dennis (86')
Evatt (83')
Clarke (33'), Jones (39'), Davies (85' pen.)
Mills (88')
Mills (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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