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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
37.78% ( -0.38) | 25.41% ( 0.09) | 36.81% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% ( -0.41) | 47.55% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( -0.39) | 69.76% ( 0.39) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% ( -0.39) | 24.71% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.75% ( -0.55) | 59.25% ( 0.56) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( -0.03) | 25.24% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% ( -0.04) | 60% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |