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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
54.99% ( 0.33) | 24.78% ( 0.35) | 20.23% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 46.8% ( -1.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.54% ( -2.09) | 54.45% ( 2.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.18% ( -1.77) | 75.81% ( 1.76) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.25% ( -0.68) | 19.75% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.22% ( -1.11) | 51.78% ( 1.1) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.32% ( -1.92) | 41.68% ( 1.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.84% ( -1.73) | 78.15% ( 1.72) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.75% Total : 54.98% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.14% Total : 20.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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