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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Swindon Town |
40.18% (![]() | 25.33% (![]() | 34.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.58% (![]() | 47.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.37% (![]() | 69.63% (![]() |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% (![]() | 23.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% (![]() | 57.38% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% (![]() | 26.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.29% (![]() | 61.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 9.01% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 11.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.24% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
2 | Notts County | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 53 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 52 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 50 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 49 |
6 | Port Vale | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 49 |
7 | Salford City | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 48 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Chesterfield | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 42 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 39 |
13 | Bromley | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 39 |
14 | MK Dons | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 38 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 34 |
19 | Gillingham | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 32 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |