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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Barrow |
40.29% ( -0.78) | 27.84% ( 0.29) | 31.87% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 47.66% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.86% ( -0.95) | 58.14% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.2% ( -0.75) | 78.79% ( 0.75) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( -0.88) | 28.25% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% ( -1.13) | 63.96% ( 1.13) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.43% ( -0.15) | 33.57% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.79% ( -0.16) | 70.21% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |