Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.