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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Stockport County |
19.47% ( 0.03) | 22.59% ( 0.01) | 57.94% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.18% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.31% ( -0.01) | 46.69% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% ( -0.01) | 68.95% ( 0) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.99% ( 0.03) | 38.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.22% ( 0.02) | 74.78% ( -0.03) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.17% ( -0.02) | 15.82% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55% ( -0.03) | 45% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 19.47% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 11.09% 0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |