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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Wrexham AFC

Forest Green
1 - 1
Wrexham

Osadebe (3')
Robson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mullin (90+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-3 Wrexham

Although Wrexham have been susceptible at the back this season, conceding 31 times, they are not as inconsistent in that areas of the field as Forest Green. Given the firepower that the Welsh side possess and their ability to create chances against the best sides that League Two have to offer, we believe they will ultimately be too much for the home team to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawWrexham
33.77% (3.454 3.45) 25.54% (0.455 0.45) 40.69% (-3.91 -3.91)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (-0.822 -0.82)48.49% (0.823 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38% (-0.754 -0.75)70.62% (0.753 0.75)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (1.837 1.84)27.46% (-1.838 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (2.313 2.31)62.95% (-2.313 -2.31)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39% (-2.219 -2.22)23.61% (2.219 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31% (-3.314 -3.31)57.69% (3.315 3.32)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 33.77%
    Wrexham 40.69%
    Draw 25.53%
Forest Green RoversDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.686 0.69)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.533 0.53)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.692 0.69)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.387 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.4 0.4)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.698 -0.7)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.503 -0.5)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.582 -0.58)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.298 -0.3)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.69%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Wrexham

Forest Green Rovers
21.6%
Draw
7.8%
Wrexham
70.6%
51
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Forest Green
3-0
Wrexham
Bennett (45'), Noble (47' pen.), Doidge (64')
Carter (39'), Ellis (43')

Riley (27'), Jennings (43'), Barry (43'), White (44')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
3-1
Forest Green
Harrad (15'), McDonagh (30', 93')
McDonagh (76'), Evans (78')
Carter (68')
Traore (76')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Forest Green
0-0
Wrexham
Racine (31'), Wedgbury (36'), Marsh-Brown (61'), Guthrie (65')
Smith (61'), Jennings (66'), Heslop (94')
Hudson (72'), Jennings (75')
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
2-2
Forest Green
Hudson (62', 68')
Heslop (74')
Carter (21'), Williams (94')
Bennett (36'), Racine (50'), Marsh-Brown (54'), Wedgbury (73')
Wedgbury (93')
Feb 24, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
6BarrowBarrow441814126053768
7Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
8Doncaster RoversDoncaster44207176765267
9Walsall451811166868065
10Bradford CityBradford441712155557-263
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester441111225775-1844
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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