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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 46.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
46.28% ( -0.1) | 27.45% ( -0.01) | 26.28% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 45.89% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.02% ( 0.12) | 58.98% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.55% ( 0.09) | 79.45% ( -0.09) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% ( 0.01) | 25.49% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.66% ( 0.01) | 60.34% ( -0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.59% ( 0.17) | 38.41% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.84% ( 0.16) | 75.16% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.16% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 26.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 49 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 37 |
3 | Notts County | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
5 | Port Vale | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 37 |
6 | Grimsby Town | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 37 |
7 | Salford City | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
9 | Chesterfield | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 34 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
12 | Bromley | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 31 |
13 | Gillingham | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 30 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 22 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 27 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 27 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 22 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 21 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Morecambe | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 17 |
> League Two Full Table |