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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
MK Dons

Wrexham
3 - 5
MK Dons

Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')
FT(HT: 1-2)
O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 1-5 Coventry
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Wrexham 2-1 MK Dons

 Wrexham are riding the crest of a wave at the moment, and they should be backed by a huge crowd at the Racecourse Ground in their first EFL game since 2009, while MK Dons have not performed well in pre-season. As such, we expect the hosts to kick off their first game of the season with a victory, building momentum ahead of what should be another season where they are battling for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawMK Dons
69.03% (3.214 3.21) 17.33% (-1.804 -1.8) 13.65% (-1.409 -1.41)
Both teams to score 57.6% (2.937 2.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.69% (5.563 5.56)33.31% (-5.563 -5.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.92% (6.11 6.11)55.08% (-6.11 -6.11)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.26% (2.284 2.28)8.74% (-2.283 -2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.95% (5.29 5.29)30.04% (-5.29 -5.29)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (1.681 1.68)36.88% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (1.642 1.64)73.67% (-1.641 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 69.03%
    MK Dons 13.65%
    Draw 17.33%
WrexhamDrawMK Dons
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.756 -0.76)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-1.517 -1.52)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.76% (0.519 0.52)
4-0 @ 4.74% (0.551 0.55)
4-1 @ 4.73% (0.736 0.74)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.42 0.42)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.457 0.46)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.463 0.46)
5-1 @ 2.3% (0.544 0.54)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.311 0.31)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.259 0.26)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.289 0.29)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 69.03%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-1.096 -1.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-1.027 -1.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.33%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.348 -0.35)
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.836 -0.84)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Wrexham vs MK Dons

Wrexham
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Wrexham
O'Hanlon (75'), Swailes (2'), Wilbraham (10', 90')
Lewington (36'), Navarro (46'), Gueret (59'), Regan (60'), Miles (83')
Roberts (59' pen.)
Roberts (26'), Bolland (33')
Jan 19, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
MK Dons
Roberts (71')
Evans (49'), Nicholson (56'), Spender (79')

Wilbraham (64'), Johnson (83')
Mar 17, 2007 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Wrexham
Andrews (38' pen.), Platt (85')
Dyer (52')
McEvilly (12')
Roche (18'), Garrett (37'), McEvilly (43')
Roche (36')
Oct 14, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
MK Dons
Roberts (20')
Done (64'), Evans (69'), Jones (88'), Mackin (90')
O'Hanlon (77')
O'Hanlon (22')
Feb 26, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
MK Dons
Morgan (87')
Lewington (81'), Harding (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521
> League Two Full Table


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