Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Salford City |
47.25% ( 0.04) | 21.72% ( -0.01) | 31.03% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.68% ( 0.02) | 31.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.24% ( 0.02) | 52.76% ( -0.03) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% ( 0.02) | 13.93% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.6% ( 0.04) | 41.39% ( -0.04) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( -0.01) | 20.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% ( -0.01) | 53.43% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 47.25% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.94% 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |