We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stockport County
Neither side is in great form, and both need a win as a draw will not do them many favours in reaching their desired targets.
However, it is tough to separate the sides, and despite scoring four at Rochdale last week, Swindon, like Stockport, have not been overly prolific recently.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.