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Championship header 2

League Two
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Stockport County

Rochdale
1 - 2
Stockport

Rodney (85')
Lloyd (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collar (56' pen., 58')
Knoyle (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Stockport County

 When it rains, it pours, and it is difficult to see how Rochdale can overcome the high-flying Stockport, even on home turf this Saturday. Stockport will be looking to bombard the Rochdale box, with Madden and Wootton hoping to overload the Dale's defenders with their physical presence. Collar may be a strong contender to score for the third successive game from midfield. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawStockport County
21.71% (-1.354 -1.35) 25.34% (-0.588 -0.59) 52.95% (1.94 1.94)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.907 0.91)54.96% (-0.91 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.744 0.74)76.24% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.823 -0.82)40.41% (0.822 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-0.754 -0.75)77.03% (0.752 0.75)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (1.187 1.19)20.77% (-1.189 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (1.836 1.84)53.42% (-1.837 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 21.71%
    Stockport County 52.94%
    Draw 25.34%
RochdaleDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.451 -0.45)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 21.71%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.36% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.136 0.14)
0-3 @ 5.43% (0.383 0.38)
1-3 @ 4.92% (0.243 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.062 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.221 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.94%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Stockport

Rochdale
21.2%
Draw
6.1%
Stockport County
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Rochdale
1-2
Stockport
Lund (22')
Jennings (7'), Reid (14')
Mar 11, 2008 3pm
Stockport
2-0
Rochdale
Dickinson (10', 56')
Nov 6, 2007 3pm
Rochdale
1-2
Stockport
Le Fondre (69' pen.)
Kennedy (37'), McArdle (75')
Dickinson (28', 53')
Tierney (35'), Taylor (37')
Mar 24, 2007 3pm
Stockport
2-7
Rochdale
Dickinson (35'), Elding (32')
Nolan (13'), Taylor (51')
Goodall (11'), Rundle (15' pen.), Muirhead (17', 46'), Murray (4', 53')
Crooks (56')
Oct 28, 2006 3pm
Rochdale
1-3
Stockport
Jones (53' pen.)
Stanton (40'), Goodall (57'), Sako (75')
Williams (19'), Robinson (45' pen.), Bramble (80')
Taylor (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521
> League Two Full Table


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