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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Walsall
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Walsall
2 - 1
Accrington

Okagbue (60'), Adegboyega (85')
Faal (90+7'), Gordon (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nolan (56' pen.)
Martin (22'), Nolan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-0 Accrington Stanley

Walsall are in great form heading into this game after three consecutive victories and a four-game unbeaten streak. Accrington, on the other hand, have dominated this fixture, winning the last four. However, we think the home side will edge this at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawAccrington Stanley
49.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 24.23% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.52% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (-0.012 -0.01)46.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (0.025999999999996 0.03)18.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.68% (0.047000000000004 0.05)50.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)31.35% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)67.72% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 49.24%
    Accrington Stanley 26.52%
    Draw 24.23%
WalsallDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Walsall vs Accrington

Walsall
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Accrington
2-1
Walsall
Leigh (9'), Pritchard (57')
Woods (45+3')
Draper (45+4' pen.)
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Accrington
2-1
Walsall
Sykes (11', 69')
Finley (63')
Devlin (33')
Kinsella (45'), Scarr (80'), Gordon (81'), Cook (84'), Leahy (88')
Gordon (84')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Walsall
0-1
Accrington

Fitzwater (85')
Kee (7' pen.)
McConville (26'), Clark (31')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Walsall
3-2
Accrington
Keates (75' pen.), Harper (21'), Butler (85')
Keates (77')
Williams (65'), Mullin (25')
Williams (66'), Whalley (73')
Oct 21, 2006 3pm
Accrington
1-2
Walsall
Craney (78')
Edwards (24')
Wright (85'), Sam (40')
Constable (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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