Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.