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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Clermont Foot

Lens
1 - 0
Clermont

Sotoca (3' pen.)
Magnin (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rashani (18'), Carpini (18'), Keita (40'), Machado (45'), Magnin (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 2-1 Lens
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Clermont

All competitions
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Clermont

 Despite Lens' ongoing winless run, that should end on Saturday. Clermont have not only lost their last four Ligue 1 matches at Lens, but a run of one victory in 10 road matches highlights the struggles of the bottom club to notch results on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawClermont
61.07% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 21.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 17.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.06% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.13 0.13)46.12% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.121 0.12)68.42% (-0.123 -0.12)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)14.61% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (0.086999999999996 0.09)42.72% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8% (0.094000000000001 0.09)40.2% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16% (0.086000000000002 0.09)76.84% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Lens 61.06%
    Clermont 17.26%
    Draw 21.66%
LensDrawClermont
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.35% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 61.06%
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: Lens vs Clermont

Lens
82.4%
Draw
14.7%
Clermont
2.9%
34
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 13
Clermont
0-3
Lens

Kyei (33'), Gonalons (68')
Seidu (45+3'), Gastien (45+4')
Wahi (11'), Thomasson (50'), Said (82')
Wahi (45+2'), Khusanov (70')
Wahi (45+3')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 27
Clermont
0-4
Lens
Openda (30', 34', 35'), Claude-Maurice (76')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 15
Lens
2-1
Clermont
Said (60'), Fofana (68')
Abdul Samed (39' og.)
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 29
Lens
3-1
Clermont
Danso (39'), Sotoca (45+3'), Haidara (58')
Haidara (82')
Rashani (9')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Clermont
2-2
Lens
Magnin (41'), Bayo (65')
Gastien (9'), Ogier (38'), Gastien (62'), Hamel (81'), Gastien (85'), Dossou (86')
Diaby (84')
Gastien (12' og.), Fofana (47')
Danso (15'), Haidara (36'), Clauss (56'), Frankowski (69'), Jean (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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