Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.92%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Toulouse |
57.92% ( -0.03) | 20.87% ( 0.01) | 21.22% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.97% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.59% ( -0) | 36.42% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.45% ( -0.01) | 58.55% ( 0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.57% ( -0.01) | 12.43% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.66% ( -0.02) | 38.34% ( 0.02) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( 0.02) | 30.38% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% ( 0.02) | 66.58% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.05% 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 4.15% Total : 57.92% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.87% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 21.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |