Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Reims had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.