MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 05:42:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 2
Jan 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
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Larne

Crusaders
1 - 3
Larne

Blaney (45+1')
Callacher (40'), Barr (57'), Larmour (68'), Williamson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cosgrove (39'), Ives (53'), Callacher (90+6')
A (43'), Randall (62'), Gallagher (81'), Ferguson (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Crusaders
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Carrick
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 41%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
32.49% (-7.094 -7.09) 26.51% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41% (7.079 7.08)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.422 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.1% (-0.373 -0.37)52.9% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49% (-0.32 -0.32)74.51% (0.319 0.32)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-4.448 -4.45)30.46% (4.446 4.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-5.63 -5.63)66.66% (5.628 5.63)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (3.912 3.91)25.43% (-3.912 -3.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (5.068 5.07)60.25% (-5.07 -5.07)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 32.49%
    Larne 40.99%
    Draw 26.5%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 9.21% (-1.063 -1.06)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.991 -0.99)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-1.447 -1.45)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.839 -0.84)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.937 -0.94)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.302 -0.3)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.6% (1.242 1.24)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.906 0.91)
0-2 @ 7.26% (1.524 1.52)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.782 0.78)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.969 0.97)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.216 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.381 0.38)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.416 0.42)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.99%

How you voted: Crusaders vs Larne

Crusaders
16.7%
Draw
41.7%
Larne
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 13
Larne
1-1
Crusaders
Magee (80')
Offord (55')
Offord (15'), Weir (40'), O'Rourke (52'), Clarke (71')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Larne
0-1
Crusaders

Donnelly (70'), Sloan (76')
Nixon (84')
Weir (14'), Clarke (25'), Lecky (53')
Jan 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Crusaders
0-2
Larne

Joe Burns (26'), O'Rourke (34'), Forsythe (51'), Larmour (59')
Thomson (45+1'), Millar (82')
Bonis (29'), Orozco (58'), Ryan (63')
Dec 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Crusaders
0-3
Larne

Larmour (6'), Joe Burns (63'), O'Rourke (67')
Joe Burns (68')
Ryan (47', 68'), Bonis (53')
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Larne
1-1
Crusaders
Ives (63')
Donnelly (35'), Want (47')
Kennedy (80')
Anderson (45'), Heatley (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield23163443162751
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon25123103630639
3GlentoranGlentoran2311572820838
4PortadownPortadown2311482923637
5LarneLarne189542213932
6CliftonvilleCliftonville229492825331
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena22101112729-231
8CrusadersCrusaders2494112835-731
9ColeraineColeraine228683733430
10GlenavonGlenavon2477102432-828
11Carrick RangersCarrick2256112033-1321
12Loughgall2434172457-3313


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