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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Monaco

Toulouse
0 - 2
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-0)
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
Akliouche (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Red Star
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Toulouse 0-2 Monaco

 Monaco are the third-highest scorers in Ligue 1 this season having scored 25 goals across their 13 matches. Toulouse have shipped seven goals in their last three outings, and we think Monaco will have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
ToulouseDrawMonaco
36.48% (0.041999999999994 0.04) 23.67% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 39.85% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)39.3% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)61.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)54.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)20.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.061 -0.06)52.23% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 36.48%
    Monaco 39.85%
    Draw 23.66%
ToulouseDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Monaco

Toulouse
14.3%
Draw
22.4%
Monaco
63.3%
49
Head to Head
May 16, 2020 7pm
Monaco
P-P
Toulouse
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Sanogo (40' pen.)
Ben Yedder (5' pen.), Martins (84')
Glik (39')
Feb 2, 2019 7pm
Monaco
2-1
Toulouse
Golovin (15'), Fabregas (62')
Ballo-Toure (9'), Jemerson (90')
Jullien (20')
Gradel (45'), Diakite (50'), Sylla (60')
Sep 15, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Leya Iseka (79')
Amian (38'), Gradel (73')
Tielemans (57')
Jemerson (28'), Henrichs (48'), Diop (81')
Feb 24, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
3-3
Monaco
Sangare (24'), Delort (78' pen.), Sanogo (87')
Delort (85')
Lopes (8', 47'), Jovetic (72')
Lemar (83'), Fabinho (90'), Jovetic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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