MX23RW : Saturday, June 15 09:24:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
3 - 0
Valenciennes

Gomis (23', 63'), Mendy (85' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Basse (51'), Kantari (52'), Venema (90+6')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dunkerque 2-2 Caen
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-1 Quevilly
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawValenciennes
65.23% (1.627 1.63) 21.46% (-0.509 -0.51) 13.31% (-1.12 -1.12)
Both teams to score 42.71% (-1.292 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-0.177 -0.18)52.48% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-0.153 -0.15)74.15% (0.15100000000001 0.15)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (0.474 0.47)15.38% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82% (0.88200000000001 0.88)44.18% (-0.884 -0.88)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.47% (-1.821 -1.82)49.52% (1.817 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.67% (-1.314 -1.31)84.32% (1.311 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Caen 65.22%
    Valenciennes 13.31%
    Draw 21.46%
CaenDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 14.26% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 13.34% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.456 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.9% (0.273 0.27)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.46% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 65.22%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.46%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 13.31%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Valenciennes
2-2
Caen
Lilepo (8'), Hamache (29')
Le Bihan (87'), Abdi (90+1')
Daubin (53'), Ntim (61')
Mar 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Caen
2-1
Valenciennes
Brahimi (9'), Mendy (77')
Bonnet (30')
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Cuffaut (39' pen.)
Mendy (23')
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Ntim (24')
Cuffaut (42'), Kaba (43'), Yatabare (59'), Masson (89')
Da Costa (13')
Abdi (59'), Cisse (88')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 11
Caen
1-2
Valenciennes
Chahiri (90+2')
Goncalves (73')
Abdi (16' og.), Robail (29')
Debuchy (31'), Robail (81')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
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3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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