MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:03:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
2 - 1
Valenciennes

Brahimi (9'), Mendy (77')
Mendy (45+2'), Vandermersch (63'), Hafid (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bonnet (30')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rodez AF 3-2 Caen
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-2 Bastia
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawValenciennes
57.02% (0.931 0.93) 25.77% (-0.246 -0.25) 17.2% (-0.686 -0.69)
Both teams to score 39.69% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.68% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)61.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)81.23% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (0.373 0.37)21.68% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.17% (0.567 0.57)54.82% (-0.569 -0.57)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.68% (-0.892 -0.89)49.31% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.82% (-0.638 -0.64)84.17% (0.636 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Caen 57.02%
    Valenciennes 17.2%
    Draw 25.76%
CaenDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 16.34% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 12.49% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 57.02%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 10.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 17.2%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Cuffaut (39' pen.)
Mendy (23')
Ntim (7')
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Ntim (24')
Cuffaut (42'), Kaba (43'), Yatabare (59'), Masson (89')
Da Costa (13')
Abdi (59'), Cisse (88')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Caen
1-2
Valenciennes
Chahiri (90+2')
Goncalves (73')
Abdi (16' og.), Robail (29')
Debuchy (31'), Robail (81')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Caen
1-1
Valenciennes
Bammou (52' pen.)
Deminguet (31'), Mendy (86')
Guel (5')
Pellenard (34'), Spano (51'), Ntim (65')
Sep 26, 2020 6pm
Valenciennes
1-0
Caen
Ntim (10')
D'Almeida (32'), Masson (43'), Spano Rahou (44'), Prior (88')

Deminguet (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient26164645261952
2Paris FCParis FC26164642251752
3Metz26148444192550
4DunkerqueDunkerque2615383931848
5GuingampGuingamp261331043331042
6Laval2611783325840
7Annecy2611693236-439
8Bastia2681352923637
9Grenoble26106103231136
10Troyes26103132826233
11PauPau268992835-733
12Red Star2695122840-1232
13Ajaccio2694132332-931
14Rodez AFRodez AF2686124543230
15AmiensAmiens2693142640-1430
16Clermont2667132235-1325
17Martigues2673161841-2324
18Caen2654172238-1619


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