Major League Soccer

May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
3 - 2
Kansas

Obrian (28', 39'), Driussi (46')
Cascante (23'), Kolmanic (70'), Pereira (89'), Valencia (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Russell (19'), Davis (63')
Fontas (88'), Radoja (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City

Austin have been brilliant at home in their recent outings and are now on the verge of breaking their record for most successive wins at home since joining the MLS, and we believe they will do just that with a victory against an out-of-sorts Kansas. This fixture has provided plenty of goals in their recent meetings, and we expect that theme to continue in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
42.33% ( 0.39)	24.19% ( 0.01)	33.47% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 60.04% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.58% (

-0.16)

42.41% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.17% (

-0.16)

64.82% (

0.16)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.77% (

0.11)

20.22% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.46% (

0.17)

52.54% (

-0.18)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26% (

-0.31)

24.73% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71% (

-0.43)

59.28% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 42.33%

Sporting Kansas City 33.48%

Draw 24.18%

Austin FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.33%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.18%	1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.48%